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Writing Future Politics
There are three easy ways to write about politics in the future.
The first is to assume your beliefs and causes will triumph. There may be solid evidence for this, as solid as Nevada's law banning gambling forever. (Passed 1909, took effect 1910.) Or the victory of monarchical power in Britain after Oliver Cromwell's death.
The second is to be certain your side will go down to defeat. The Satanic [liberals, conservatives, greens, pugoristas] will win. The Soviet Union will prevail over the Free World -- oops, that one doesn't work any more.
The third is to take for granted that future politics will be just like today's. This is plausible provided there are no new industries, geographic shifts of old industries, new technologies, population changes, major Supreme Court decisions, changes elsewhere in the world....
One way which looks easy: Assume the future will repeat the past. The US will fall apart the same way the Roman Empire did, and be succeeded by feudal societies. Knights will use flying cars rather than horses, and so forth.
( Read more... )
The first is to assume your beliefs and causes will triumph. There may be solid evidence for this, as solid as Nevada's law banning gambling forever. (Passed 1909, took effect 1910.) Or the victory of monarchical power in Britain after Oliver Cromwell's death.
The second is to be certain your side will go down to defeat. The Satanic [liberals, conservatives, greens, pugoristas] will win. The Soviet Union will prevail over the Free World -- oops, that one doesn't work any more.
The third is to take for granted that future politics will be just like today's. This is plausible provided there are no new industries, geographic shifts of old industries, new technologies, population changes, major Supreme Court decisions, changes elsewhere in the world....
One way which looks easy: Assume the future will repeat the past. The US will fall apart the same way the Roman Empire did, and be succeeded by feudal societies. Knights will use flying cars rather than horses, and so forth.
( Read more... )